FORT LAUDERDALE BEACH SMART MONEY - Condo Buy List
FORT LAUDERDALE BEACH SMART MONEY
CRAIG BUJNOWSKI | 617-784-7504 | @craigbuj
The Weekly Condo Buy List | September 26, 2026
|
Signal |
This Week |
|
🏆 Best Risk/Reward |
Las Olas Beach Club #702 — $1.449M / $609/SF |
|
💰 Best Low-Basis Luxury Trade |
Jackson Tower #1003 — ~$890K / ~$517/SF |
|
🌊 Best Oceanfront Value |
Las Olas Beach Club #607 — $1.195M / $627/SF |
|
🔨 Best Renovation Trade |
Jackson Tower #2705 — around $900K target |
|
🆕 Best New-Luxury Value |
Selene developer #0501E — $2.699M / ~$867/SF |
|
🏙️ Best Modern Resale Value |
Paramount lower-priced inventory |
|
🔥 90-Day Takeaway |
The beach is not one market: value ranges from ~$500/SF to $2,000+/SF |
SMART MONEY COMMENTARY
The biggest Fort Lauderdale Beach opportunity isn’t predicting whether beachfront condos appreciate.
It’s exploiting enormous price dispersion.
You can currently see Jackson Tower around $500–$600/SF, Las Olas Beach Club inventory starting around $609–$627/SF, and trophy beach inventory approaching or exceeding $1,500–$2,000/SF.
The trade is figuring out exactly what you’re receiving for every additional $500/SF.
🏆 SMART MONEY TOP 10
|
# |
Condo |
Ask |
$/SF |
Smart Buy* |
Gap |
Score |
Seller Pain |
Call |
|
1 |
Las Olas Beach Club #702 |
$1.449M |
$609 |
~$1.375M |
5.1% |
95 |
Low/New |
🟡 NEGOTIATE |
|
2 |
Las Olas Beach Club #607 |
$1.195M |
$627 |
~$1.15M |
3.8% |
94 |
Low/New |
🟡 NEGOTIATE |
|
3 |
Jackson Tower #1003 |
~$890K |
~$517 |
~$850K |
~4.5% |
92 |
Medium |
🟡 NEGOTIATE |
|
4 |
Jackson Tower #2705 |
~$995K |
~$603 |
~$900K |
~9.5% |
91 |
High |
🟡 NEGOTIATE |
|
5 |
Selene #0501E |
$2.699M |
~$867 |
~$2.60M |
3.7% |
90 |
High† |
🟡 NEGOTIATE |
|
6 |
Las Olas Beach Club #907 |
$1.399M |
$734 |
~$1.325M |
5.3% |
89 |
Medium |
🟡 NEGOTIATE |
|
7 |
Paramount #214 |
$1.795M |
~$1,026 |
~$1.70M |
5.3% |
87 |
Medium |
🟡 NEGOTIATE |
|
8 |
511 Bayshore #405‡ |
~$699K |
~$526 |
~$660K |
~5.6% |
86 |
Medium |
🟡 NEGOTIATE |
|
9 |
Venetian #605‡ |
~$739K |
~$616 |
~$700K |
~5.3% |
85 |
Medium |
🟡 NEGOTIATE |
|
10 |
Tiffany House TH3‡ |
~$1.20M |
~$736 |
~$1.125M |
~6.3% |
84 |
Medium |
🟡 NEGOTIATE |
🎯 SMART MONEY GAP™
🟢 BUY ZONE: within ~3% of estimated Smart Buy
🟡 NEGOTIATE: ~3–10% above
🔵 WATCH: >10% above
This week’s signal:
THE BEST BEACH CONDOS ARE GETTING CLOSE — BUT I’D STILL NEGOTIATE.
The most interesting distinction from Las Olas is that new inventory is appearing at surprisingly competitive $/SF.
That’s particularly visible at Selene and Las Olas Beach Club.
📊 THE FORT LAUDERDALE BEACH VALUE CURVE
~$500–$625/SF
Jackson Tower / selected Bayshore value
~$600–$850/SF
Las Olas Beach Club value inventory / Venetian / selected Tiffany House
~$800–$1,100/SF
Premium established beach condos / Paramount opportunities
~$850–$1,400/SF
Selene price-discovery range
~$1,500–$2,000+/SF
Trophy oceanfront / penthouse / premium Auberge territory
🔥 SMART MONEY TRADE #1
LAS OLAS BEACH CLUB #702
ASK: $1.449M
SIZE: 2,378 SF
ASK: $609/SF
Compare same-size inventory:
#702 — 2,378 SF — $1.449M — $609/SF
#1404 — 2,378 SF — $2.299M — $967/SF
SAME SIZE. $850,000 DIFFERENCE.
Current listing data support both asks.
That’s roughly a 59% price premium for #1404.
THE TRADE
Before paying another $850K, I want to know exactly how much value I’m receiving from floor, view, renovation and condition.
This is currently my favorite pure beach relative-value screen.
🔥 SMART MONEY TRADE #2
JACKSON TOWER #2705
Working ask:
~$995K / 1,650 SF / ~$603/SF
SMART MONEY:
~$900K
At $900K:
~$545/SF
Illustrative renovation:
Purchase — $900K
Renovation — $125K
Closing/carry reserve — $50K
ALL-IN ≈ $1.075M / ~$652/SF
Jackson Tower’s current public inventory averages roughly $600/SF asking, with eight units active on one current feed.
THE TRADE
This isn’t simply a cheap condo.
It’s an attempt to buy high-floor beach/marina real estate around $545/SF and manufacture a luxury interior.
🔥 SMART MONEY TRADE #3
SELENE #0501E
ASK: $2.699M
SIZE: 3,112 SF
~$867/SF
Previous advertised pricing:
$3.799M
Reduction:
$1.10 MILLION / ~29%
Selene’s developer currently highlights both substantial residence reductions and more than $40M in closings during a recent 60-day period.
THE TRADE
This changes the Selene discussion.
At ~$867/SF for brand-new 3,112-SF inventory, you’re no longer simply comparing Selene against other new oceanfront product.
You’re comparing it against older premium resale buildings.
That is exactly the kind of pricing dislocation Smart Money should investigate.
📈 90-DAY SIGNAL BOARD
|
Building |
What Matters |
Smart Money Read |
|
Jackson Tower |
~8 active / ~$600/SF average ask |
🟢 HUNT $500s/SF |
|
Las Olas Beach Club |
13 active; ~$609–$1,870/SF spread |
🟢 BUY LOW-BASIS LARGE UNITS |
|
Venetian |
Lower-basis boating/Intracoastal alternative |
🟢 HUNT $600s/SF |
|
511 Bayshore |
Lower-entry Intracoastal opportunity |
🟢 VALUE SCREEN |
|
Paramount |
Modern established luxury |
🟡 BUY THE DISCOUNT |
|
Tiffany House |
Investor/rental angle requires rule verification |
🟡 SELECTIVE |
|
Selene |
Developer price discovery/reset |
🟢 REUNDERWRITE NOW |
|
Auberge |
Established ultra-luxury benchmark |
⚪ BENCHMARK |
Las Olas Beach Club currently has approximately 12 units available , while one six-month dataset shows approximately $747/SF average closed pricing versus $1,127/SF average current asking pricing—a major gap partly driven by premium inventory mix.
🚨 SELLER CAPITULATION WATCH™
LAS OLAS BEACH CLUB #1502
Current:
$1.975M / $830/SF
Reported reduction:
~17%
LAS OLAS BEACH CLUB PH2703
Current:
$4.75M / $1,480/SF
Reported reduction:
~13.6%
This is exactly what we want to monitor:
GOOD BUILDING + LARGE PRICE CUT + BASIS APPROACHING RESALE COMPS
💥 SAME BUILDING. SAME SIZE.™
LAS OLAS BEACH CLUB
2,378 SF
#702 — $1.449M / $609/SF
#1404 — $2.299M / $967/SF
$850,000 SPREAD
1,905 SF
#607 — $1.195M / $627/SF
#907 — $1.399M / $734/SF
#1107 — $1.599M / $839/SF
#1706 — $1.695M / $890/SF
#1806 — $1.945M / $1,021/SF
$750,000 LOW-TO-HIGH SPREAD
That may be the most compelling dataset in the entire beach report.
Same building. Same 1,905 SF. $750K difference.
🏗️ CATALYST MONITOR
SELENE: completed new oceanfront inventory is establishing real transaction pricing rather than hypothetical preconstruction pricing.
LAS OLAS BEACH CLUB: large floor plans and central beach location become increasingly interesting when lower-floor units fall into the $600s/SF.
PARAMOUNT: provides an established modern-luxury benchmark between older resale and newest oceanfront product.
AUBERGE: remains the key established true-oceanfront ultra-luxury benchmark.
FORT LAUDERDALE BEACH: continued restaurant, hospitality and luxury residential investment supports the broader lifestyle proposition—but does not guarantee condo appreciation.
🥇 TOP 3 TO TOUR THIS WEEK
1 — LAS OLAS BEACH CLUB #702
$1.449M | 2,378 SF | $609/SF
Smart Money investigation:
~$1.35–$1.40M
Why: same-size #1404 asks $850K more.
2 — JACKSON TOWER #2705
Working ask:
~$995K | 1,650 SF | ~$603/SF
Smart Money investigation:
~$875K–$925K
Why: around $900K creates approximately $545/SF acquisition basis with renovation optionality.
3 — SELENE #0501E
$2.699M | 3,112 SF | ~$867/SF
Smart Money investigation:
~$2.55–$2.65M
Why: developer pricing has already moved down approximately $1.1M, creating an entirely different relative-value proposition.
💰 INVESTMENT DESK CONCLUSION
WHAT’S MISPRICED?
Las Olas Beach Club #702 — strongest same-size relative-value setup.
Jackson Tower #2705 — strongest renovation/basis trade if acquired around $900K.
Selene #0501E — most interesting new-luxury pricing reset.
HOW MISPRICED?
The most attractive units generally appear ~4–10% above the prices where I’d want to own them—but the internal spreads are vastly larger.
LOB Club alone shows a $750K spread among 1,905-SF units and an $850K spread between two 2,378-SF units.
ARE SELLERS MOVING?
Yes—and Selene is the biggest signal.
A developer reduction from $3.799M to $2.699M is large enough to force us to re-underwrite the entire competitive set.
WHAT PRICE MAKES THE DEAL WORK?
LOB Club #702: ~$1.35–$1.40M
Jackson Tower #2705: ~$875K–$925K
Selene #0501E: ~$2.55–$2.65M
LOB Club #607: ~$1.125–$1.15M
LOOKING FOR THE BEST WATERFRONT VALUE?
Send me your budget. I’ll show you what I’d buy — and what I’d pay.
CRAIG BUJNOWSKI | 617-784-7504 | @craigbuj
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